Economics Prediction Markets

    9997 markets

    Fed decision in Sep 2026?

    Hike 25bps
    55%
    Fed maintains rate
    46%
    Hike >25bps
    2%
    Live$2M
    Fed

    When will Apple release the iPhone 18?

    Before March 2027
    18%
    Before 2027
    5%
    Before October
    2%
    Live$134K
    Economics

    Fed rate cut before 2027?

    11%chance

    Cuts

    Yes 10¢No 89¢
    Live$45K
    Economics

    When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?

    Before Sep 28, 2026
    97%
    Before Oct 2026
    97%
    Before Sep 21, 2026
    89%
    Live$45K
    Economics

    When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

    6%chance

    Before Oct 1, 2026

    Yes 5¢No 94¢
    Live$44K
    Economics

    Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026

    Above 95.0 TWh
    86%
    Above 100.0 TWh
    10%
    Above 92.5 TWh
    95%
    Live$38K
    Economics+1 more

    CPI in August

    Above 0.3%
    54%
    Above 0.1%
    90%
    Above 0.4%
    13%
    Live$30K
    Economics

    Visitors to Florida in 2026

    Above 144 million
    13%
    Above 138 million
    95%
    Above 136 million
    98%
    Live$28K
    Economics+1 more

    US gas prices this week

    Above 4.2600
    64%
    Above 4.2200
    78%
    Above 4.1800
    98%
    Live$25K
    Economics+2 more

    Next Fed rate hike?

    75%chance

    Before 2027

    Yes 74¢No 25¢
    Live$21K
    Economics

    Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?

    8%chance

    Before Jan 1, 2027

    Yes 7¢No 92¢
    Live$21K
    Economics

    Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026

    Above 85,000 jobs
    51%
    Above 84,000 jobs
    68%
    Above 90,000 jobs
    4%
    Live$19K
    Economics+5 more

    Inflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)

    Above 3.3%
    59%
    Above 3.4%
    22%
    Above 3.5%
    6%
    Live$19K
    Economics

    Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?

    55%chance

    Above 3.75%

    Yes 54¢No 45¢
    Live$19K
    Fed

    What will be the price of a foldable iPhone?

    At least $2000
    25%
    At least $2200
    8%
    Live$16K
    Economics

    How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?

    Above 92,000 MW
    6%
    Above 92,500 MW
    6%
    Above 96,000 MW
    4%
    Live$14K
    Economics+1 more

    Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?

    33,000.01 or above
    16%
    32,500 to 33,000
    4%
    18,999.99 or below
    2%
    Live$13K
    Economics

    Recession in 2027?

    23%chance

    A recession in 2027

    Yes 22¢No 77¢
    Live$13K
    Economics

    Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 9, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

    29,560 or above
    54%
    29,610 or above
    43%
    29,510 or above
    63%
    Live$12K
    Economics

    Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026

    Above 660
    36%
    Above 640
    69%
    Above 680
    14%
    Live$12K
    Economics+2 more

    Will the S&P finish positive this year?

    88%chance

    Positive Growth

    Yes 87¢No 12¢
    Live$10K
    Economics

    S&P 500 Daily Up/Down

    60%chance

    Above 7673.52

    Yes 58¢No 40¢
    Live$10K
    Economics

    NYC median asking rent in December 2026

    18%chance

    Above $4,100

    Yes 17¢No 82¢
    Live$9K
    Economics

    S&P price on Sep 9, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

    7,675 or above
    62%
    7,685 or above
    51%
    Live$9K
    Economics

    Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?

    Rigetti Computing
    92%
    D-Wave Quantum
    91%
    GlobalFoundries
    92%
    Live$7K
    Economics

    Average Wall Street bonus in 2026

    Above $275,000
    47%
    Above $300,000
    16%
    Live$7K
    Economics

    Port of New York and New Jersey container volume in 2026

    Above 8.9 million TEUs
    36%
    Above 8.7 million TEUs
    71%
    Above 8.6 million TEUs
    84%
    Live$6K
    Economics

    Bank of Japan rate decision in September

    Hike 25bps
    98%
    Hike more than 25bps
    2%
    Live$6K
    Economics

    S&P close price end of 2026?

    8,000 to 8,199.99
    16%
    7,200 to 7,399.99
    5%
    6,600 to 6,799.99
    2%
    Live$6K
    Economics+4 more

    CPI year-over-year in Aug 2026?

    3%chance

    Exactly 3.6%

    Yes 1¢No 97¢
    Live$5K
    CPI

    Browse economics prediction markets tied to Fed decisions, inflation, GDP, jobs, recession signals, commodities, and macro indicators. The strongest multi-outcome event pages are surfaced for search.