Politics Prediction Markets

    24201 markets

    Texas Senate winner?

    James Talarico
    64%
    Ken Paxton
    37%
    Live$2M
    Politics

    Which party will win the U.S. House?

    Democratic Party
    91%
    Republican Party
    9%
    Live$1M
    Politics

    2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

    Democrats sweep
    67%
    D-House, R-Senate
    25%
    Republicans sweep
    9%
    Live$1M
    Politics+1 more

    Brazil Presidential election winner?

    Flávio Bolsonaro
    79%
    Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
    23%
    Live$948K
    Politics

    2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?

    Gavin Newsom
    13%
    J.B. Pritzker
    2%
    James Talarico
    2%
    Live$503K
    Politics

    California Governor winner? (Person)

    Xavier Becerra
    97%
    Steve Hilton
    3%
    Live$469K
    Politics

    Which party will win the U.S. Senate?

    Democratic Party
    67%
    Republican Party
    34%
    Live$465K
    Politics

    Texas Governor winner?

    Greg Abbott
    71%
    Gina Hinojosa
    30%
    Live$387K
    Politics

    South Carolina Senate winner?

    Darline Graham
    80%
    Annie Andrews
    21%
    Live$350K
    Politics

    Ohio Governor winner?

    Amy Acton
    82%
    Vivek Ramaswamy
    20%
    Live$206K
    Politics

    Michigan Senate winner?

    Abdul El-Sayed
    69%
    Mike Rogers
    32%
    Live$184K
    Politics

    New York Governor winner?

    5%chance

    Bruce Blakeman

    Yes 5¢No 95¢
    Live$152K
    Politics

    Massachusetts Governor winner?

    Maura Healey
    96%
    Mike Minogue
    4%
    Live$148K
    Politics

    Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?

    28%chance

    Benjamin Netanyahu

    Yes 27¢No 72¢
    Live$147K
    Politics

    US-Iran nuclear deal?

    2%chance

    Before Nov 1, 2026

    Yes 1¢No 98¢
    Live$146K
    Politics

    Maine Senate winner?

    Troy Jackson
    64%
    Susan Collins
    38%
    Live$142K
    Politics

    Blue wave in 2026?

    85%chance

    Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senate?

    Yes 84¢No 15¢
    Live$105K
    Politics

    MN-05 House winner?

    Ilhan Omar
    95%
    John Nagel
    6%
    Live$104K
    Congress

    Florida Governor winner?

    Byron Donalds
    83%
    David Jolly
    20%
    Live$101K
    Politics

    Minnesota Senate winner?

    Peggy Flanagan
    86%
    Michele Tafoya
    15%
    Live$98K
    Politics

    Kansas Senate winner?

    Roger Marshall
    61%
    Adam Hamilton
    40%
    Live$93K
    Politics

    Los Angeles Mayor winner?

    Nithya Raman
    55%
    Karen Bass
    46%
    Live$85K
    Politics

    How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

    47-47
    14%
    46-46
    10%
    53-53
    5%
    Live$75K
    Politics+2 more

    2028 Democratic presidential nominee

    Gavin Newsom
    15%
    Andy Beshear
    5%
    Ro Khanna
    2%
    Live$68K
    Politics+2 more

    Ohio Senate winner?

    Sherrod Brown
    69%
    Jon Husted
    32%
    Live$63K
    Politics

    Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?

    Anna Kelly
    28%
    Scott Jennings
    7%
    Kari Lake
    3%
    Live$62K
    Politics

    Blue tsunami in 2026?

    54%chance

    Will Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House AND hold 51 or more seats in the Senate?

    Yes 53¢No 46¢
    Live$59K
    Politics

    How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

    Below 210
    4%
    210-213
    3%
    Live$57K
    Politics

    Georgia Governor winner?

    41%chance

    Rick Jackson

    Yes 40¢No 59¢
    Live$56K
    Politics

    Arizona Governor winner?

    11%chance

    Andy Biggs

    Yes 10¢No 89¢
    Live$56K
    Politics

    Follow politics prediction markets across elections, Congress, White House developments, and geopolitical events. The public SEO surface focuses on structured event pages with multiple related outcomes.