Technology Prediction Markets

    729 markets

    Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

    Before Jan 20, 2029
    21%
    Before 2028
    14%
    Before 2027
    5%
    Live$19K
    Technology+3 more

    Best AI at the end of 2026?

    Claude
    58%
    ChatGPT
    24%
    Muse Spark
    2%
    Live$15K
    Technology+3 more

    SpaceX Starship 14th launch?

    Before Oct 1, 2026
    88%
    Before Sep 18, 2026
    8%
    Live$11K
    Technology

    Tencent market share this week

    Above 5.9%
    69%
    Above 5.3%
    80%
    Above 6.8%
    20%
    Live$10K
    Technology+2 more

    Best AI in Sep 2026?

    Claude
    86%
    ChatGPT
    12%
    Live$8K
    Technology

    How many launches will SpaceX have in September?

    Above 9
    37%
    Above 8
    89%
    Above 10
    12%
    Live$5K
    Technology+2 more

    Anthropic market share this week

    Above 2.45%
    60%
    Above 2.6%
    36%
    Above 3.1%
    2%
    Live$5K
    Technology+3 more

    When will OpenAI achieve AGI?

    Before 2028
    57%
    Before 2027
    22%
    Live$4K
    Technology

    DeepSeek market share this week

    Above 21.9%
    56%
    Above 23%
    13%
    Above 24%
    5%
    Live$3K
    Technology

    When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?

    Before 2035
    85%
    Before 2029
    51%
    Before 2028
    16%
    Live$3K
    Technology+1 more

    OpenRouter AI token usage: Sep 7–13

    Above 122T tokens
    62%
    Above 118T tokens
    84%
    Above 142T tokens
    7%
    Live$2K
    Technology+2 more

    How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?

    4%chance

    Above 180

    Yes 3¢No 96¢
    Live$2K
    Technology

    US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?

    7%chance

    Grants license

    Yes 5¢No 93¢
    Live$2K
    Technology

    Google market share this week

    Above 18.8%
    83%
    Above 18.4%
    89%
    Above 17.6%
    97%
    Live$2K
    Technology+4 more

    OpenAI market share this week

    Above 23.5%
    72%
    Above 21.8%
    64%
    Above 21.1%
    98%
    Live$2K
    Technology+2 more

    Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?

    19%chance

    Before 2030

    Yes 16¢No 81¢
    Live$2K
    Technology

    When will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?

    19%chance

    Before 2028

    Yes 18¢No 81¢
    Live$1K
    Technology

    Best AI this week

    95%chance

    Claude

    Yes 90¢No 5¢
    Live$1K
    Technology

    Top Chinese AI Company this month

    Z.ai
    3%
    DeepSeek
    2%
    Live$1K
    Technology

    Qwen market share this week

    Above 5.3%
    35%
    Above 5.55%
    25%
    Above 5.95%
    8%
    Live$1K
    Technology+4 more

    Most popular AI this week

    Tencent
    94%
    OpenAI
    2%
    DeepSeek
    3%
    Live$1K
    Technology+1 more

    Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?

    28%chance

    OpenAI

    Yes 26¢No 72¢
    Live$1K
    Technology

    When will Beam Therapeutics submit a BLA for Risto-cel?

    52%chance

    before November

    Yes 8¢No 48¢
    Live$1K
    Technology

    Top AI model in September?

    claude-fable-5.1-max
    76%
    claude-opus-5-max
    5%
    claude-opus-5-high
    3%
    Live$1K
    Technology

    Top Chinese AI Company week of September 7th

    3%chance

    Tencent

    Yes 1¢No 97¢
    Live$1K
    Technology

    When will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?

    60%chance

    Before July 2027

    Yes 58¢No 40¢
    Live$937.77
    Technology

    Where will Waymo operate in 2026?

    Washington, DC
    29%
    Portland, OR
    15%
    Seattle, WA
    8%
    Live$885.43
    Technology+1 more

    Top Text to Image AI this week

    92%chance

    OpenAI

    Yes 88¢No 8¢
    Live$819.15
    Technology

    When will any company achieve AGI?

    Before Oct 1, 2027
    58%
    Before Jan 1, 2027
    25%
    Live$776.93
    Technology

    Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

    Alibaba
    8%
    Meta
    9%
    Live$652
    Technology

    Follow technology prediction markets tied to AI milestones, company events, IPOs, product launches, and broader sector narratives. Higher-signal multi-outcome events are prioritized for search discovery.